TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Oracz vs Cezary Pawlik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113411114911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1113411114911––
H2H Jacek Oracz 33–34 Cezary Pawlik Jacek Oracz has won 33 of their 67 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Pawlik beat Oracz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.55 / Pawlik 2.25
TT Elite Series · #13236215
Oracz1.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 295 of 411
Up 2–0, closes it99% 184 of 186
Up 1–0, closes it88% 243 of 276
Pawlik2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz4wins
AwayPawlik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwayPawlik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S2Oracz7Pawlik3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Oracz3Pawlik7n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S4Oracz4Pawlik5n = 9Pawlik took 5 of 9
S5Oracz2Pawlik3n = 5Pawlik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczPawlikO − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.641.6+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 898 vs 316 / 53872.5%58.7%651 / 898 vs 316 / 538Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.55/Pawlik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 16:25J. Oracz4991191192C. Pawlik45114118113
LSep 26 · 22:50J. Oracz34611981C. Pawlik4011711113
LSep 26 · 15:10J. Oracz51129111182C. Pawlik47141147113
LSep 18 · 22:50J. Oracz4011811101C. Pawlik4371113123
WSep 18 · 15:10J. Oracz4011117113C. Pawlik33691171
WSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz521191110113C. Pawlik4571171282
WSep 11 · 16:25J. Oracz471111410113C. Pawlik4678111282
WSep 5 · 22:50J. Oracz331111113C. Pawlik217590
LSep 5 · 15:10J. Oracz39912991C. Pawlik43111011113
LSep 4 · 22:50J. Oracz5191191662C. Pawlik531161114113
J. Oracz10
LOct 3 · 00:45J. Oracz2.0911671132M. Zielinski1.67911119113WOct 2 · 23:35J. Oracz1.8051211113T. Kocik1.911110791WOct 2 · 22:25M. Wozniczka3.2531040J. Oracz1.301112113LOct 2 · 21:35J. Oracz1.2111126752K. Malcher4.102101111113WOct 2 · 20:00J. Oracz1.61711116113M. Wozniczka2.1911391162WOct 2 · 18:45J. Oracz1.7391111113M. Zielinski2.01116291WOct 2 · 17:35J. Oracz1.95121111113T. Kocik1.701061381LOct 2 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.20114118113J. Oracz1.5791191192WOct 2 · 15:35J. Oracz1.2011116113K. Malcher3.80741121WSep 27 · 02:20G. Mucha2.70971211142J. Oracz1.401111107163
C. Pawlik10
LOct 3 · 01:10M. Wozniczka2.5812118113C. Pawlik1.451031141WOct 3 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.261113113K. Malcher3.6021130WOct 2 · 22:50C. Pawlik2.201312113T. Kocik1.57111070LOct 2 · 22:00M. Zielinski1.85101112123C. Pawlik1.8012810101WOct 2 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.37121112113K. Malcher2.861471051WOct 2 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.501111113M. Wozniczka2.406720WOct 2 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.80121112113M. Zielinski1.851091451WOct 2 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.20114118113J. Oracz1.5791191192LOct 2 · 15:10C. Pawlik2.25981161T. Kocik1.5411117113LSep 27 · 02:00M. Machelski4.2091111113C. Pawlik1.20117441
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