TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Iwasyszyn vs Jaroslaw Rolak 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811118811––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched: 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
611811118811––
H2H Wojciech Iwasyszyn 23–20 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Iwasyszyn beat Rolak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:1655.1%Our read62.1%to break even at 1.61
short by 7.0pp62.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.61 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-20 in 43
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Iwasyszyn 1306 vs Rolak 1206
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Iwasyszyn 60% vs Rolak 0%
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iwasyszyn 40% vs Rolak 20%
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Iwasyszyn +1 · Rolak -5
Rolak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Rolak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIwasyszyn 2.20 / Rolak 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Rolak)-7.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13230352
Iwasyszyn2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 94 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back32% 40 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Rolak1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite51% won 137 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it86% 63 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 107 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIwasyszyn5wins
AwayRolak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIwasyszyn50%3 of 6
AwayRolak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Iwasyszyn6Rolak4n = 10Iwasyszyn took 6 of 10
S2Iwasyszyn2Rolak8n = 10Rolak took 8 of 10
S3Iwasyszyn5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S4Iwasyszyn4Rolak3n = 7Iwasyszyn took 4 of 7
S5Iwasyszyn3Rolak2n = 5Iwasyszyn took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIwasyszynRolakI − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.8−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIwasyszynRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime525 / 1040 vs 643 / 144150.5%44.6%525 / 1040 vs 643 / 1441Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RolakIwasyszyn 2.20/Rolak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn331111113J. Rolak217680
WSep 5 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn47951111113J. Rolak4311115882
WSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn4011117113J. Rolak33781171
LJul 4 · 10:10W. Iwasyszyn143470J. Rolak331111113
WJul 4 · 05:15W. Iwasyszyn527121111113J. Rolak4711146792
LJul 4 · 03:00W. Iwasyszyn45114115142J. Rolak55911811163
LApr 7 · 20:15W. Iwasyszyn32115971J. Rolak4291111113
LMar 20 · 01:45W. Iwasyszyn4611891172J. Rolak49911117113
WMar 19 · 23:20W. Iwasyszyn47119115113J. Rolak4281161162
LMar 17 · 17:25W. Iwasyszyn248970J. Rolak331111113
W. Iwasyszyn10
WOct 2 · 00:10W. Iwasyszyn1.8511185123A. Myszewski1.8571611101WOct 1 · 21:55W. Iwasyszyn2.101111113K. Klocek1.658640LOct 1 · 21:30W. Iwasyszyn2.559670J. Lamperski1.461111113WOct 1 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.491111113J. Rolak2.477680WOct 1 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.831211129143D. Wrobel1.871451011122LOct 1 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.406770J. Lamperski1.501111113LOct 1 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.859750M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LOct 1 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.859760A. Myszewski1.851111113LSep 29 · 00:10M. Trela1.651213133W. Iwasyszyn2.101011110WSep 28 · 23:45W. Iwasyszyn1.78131110113B. Mrugala1.931141291
J. Rolak10
LOct 1 · 22:35K. Klocek1.501111113J. Rolak2.359560LOct 1 · 22:15J. Rolak2.656320J. Lamperski1.401111113LOct 1 · 21:05A. Myszewski1.701111113J. Rolak2.006940LOct 1 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.491111113J. Rolak2.477680LOct 1 · 19:20J. Rolak4.4171111972A. Myszewski1.17119911113WOct 1 · 18:10D. Wrobel1.8513961482J. Rolak1.8511111112113LOct 1 · 16:55J. Lamperski1.40111011113J. Rolak2.65712951LOct 1 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.001111113J. Rolak1.715980LSep 29 · 23:20M. Skorski1.65111112113J. Rolak2.05691471WSep 29 · 22:35B. Mrugala1.9113680J. Rolak1.801511113
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