TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Napirko vs Dmytro Neborak 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111148111614117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:01 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Neborak to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Dmytro Neborak @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingOleh Napirko above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 101 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Dmytro Neborak at 58.6%
101 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Napirko 1–1 Dmytro Neborak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Neborak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Napirko 1598 vs Neborak 1718
Neborak
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Napirko 20% vs Neborak 40%
Neborak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Napirko 20% vs Neborak 40%
Neborak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Napirko -1 · Neborak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Neborak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNapirko 2.10 / Neborak 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Neborak)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13213640
Napirko2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Neborak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 38 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNapirko1wins
AwayNeborak1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNapirkoNeborakNapirko − NeborakBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.541.0+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNapirkoNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 851 vs 314 / 85049.8%36.9%424 / 851 vs 314 / 850Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NeborakNapirko 2.10/Neborak 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.6%
Neborak · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Dmytro Neborak @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
3–2
Napirko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 28 · 19:05O. Napirko4991112982D. Neborak491161011113
WSep 27 · 20:30O. Napirko3811115113D. Neborak33951181
O. Napirko10
LSep 29 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.10111210113O. Napirko6.507101241WSep 29 · 05:35O. Napirko1.8311136113R. Lazebnyi1.838111181LSep 28 · 19:05O. Napirko1.9191112982D. Neborak1.801161011113LSep 28 · 17:05I. Kozachuk1.1181111113O. Napirko6.00119641LSep 28 · 15:05I. Romaniak1.9111811113O. Napirko1.80711551LSep 28 · 14:05O. Napirko3.008660D. Shcherbak1.361111113LSep 28 · 13:05S. Rak1.171111113O. Napirko4.506770LSep 28 · 03:00N. Kovalchuk1.57411711113O. Napirko2.2511811882WSep 28 · 01:30O. Napirko1.9111116113R. Lazebnyi1.80941171LSep 27 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.1411118113O. Napirko5.00711141
D. Neborak10
LSep 29 · 06:05D. Shcherbak1.831111113D. Neborak1.837850LSep 29 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.36511911113D. Neborak3.0011811982WSep 28 · 19:05O. Napirko1.9191112982D. Neborak1.801161011113LSep 28 · 17:35D. Neborak1.8011614692D. Shcherbak1.914111211113WSep 28 · 15:35S. Rak1.36971171D. Neborak3.0011117113WSep 28 · 13:35I. Romaniak1.83931161D. Neborak1.8311118113LSep 28 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.33113911113D. Neborak3.2551111682LSep 28 · 02:00S. Rak1.3611118113D. Neborak3.00851181LSep 28 · 01:00D. Neborak1.83951181N. Kovalchuk1.8311116113WSep 28 · 00:00D. Neborak1.831112113R. Lazebnyi1.8381050
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.