TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adrian Walek vs Vladimir Adamczyk 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118711119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Adrian Walek at 59.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 7–5 Vladimir Adamczyk Vladimir Adamczyk has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Walek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Walek
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1585 vs Adamczyk 1553
Walek
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 20% vs Adamczyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 30% vs Adamczyk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek -1 · Adamczyk -4
Adamczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Walek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.57 / Adamczyk 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Walek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210961
Walek1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 49 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it67% 36 of 54
Adamczyk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 27 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back33% 13 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek6wins
AwayAdamczyk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWalek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek80%4 of 5
AwayAdamczyk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek5Adamczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Walek7Adamczyk3n = 10Walek took 7 of 10
S3Walek6Adamczyk4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Walek3Adamczyk4n = 7Adamczyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekAdamczykW − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.634.4+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 465 vs 118 / 21650.1%54.6%233 / 465 vs 118 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WalekWalek 1.57/Adamczyk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 07:00A. Walek331111113V. Adamczyk174850
LAug 13 · 11:30A. Walek311151051V. Adamczyk4281112113
WJul 16 · 12:00A. Walek4181111113V. Adamczyk26113481
LJul 13 · 10:30A. Walek32841191V. Adamczyk4111118113
WJul 13 · 06:00A. Walek50111189113V. Adamczyk4287111152
WJul 8 · 21:30A. Walek4071111113V. Adamczyk30117841
LJul 8 · 19:00A. Walek45511145102V. Adamczyk551191211123
WJun 30 · 21:00A. Walek3811124113V. Adamczyk388101191
WJun 30 · 20:00A. Walek341112113V. Adamczyk2021080
LJun 25 · 15:00A. Walek228860V. Adamczyk331111113
A. Walek10
WSep 29 · 15:00J. Schwan1.9198111182A. Walek1.80111196113LSep 28 · 17:00A. Walek2.1091180D. Heczko1.671113113WSep 28 · 16:00A. Walek2.00111211173D. Langer1.738149151LSep 28 · 15:30T. Petrek1.73119118113A. Walek2.0081161182LSep 28 · 14:00A. Walek1.9181161182D. Heczko1.80112117113LSep 26 · 21:30D. Langer1.80116911113A. Walek1.9171111452WSep 26 · 20:30R. Vavrecka1.913750A. Walek1.801111113LSep 26 · 19:30A. Walek1.911011851D. Machander1.8012711113LSep 26 · 18:30D. Langer1.6771111113A. Walek2.10119761WSep 26 · 17:30D. Langer1.686750A. Walek2.051111113
V. Adamczyk10
LSep 29 · 15:30V. Adamczyk2.6310960D. Langer1.441211113LSep 26 · 13:00J. Levicky1.131111113V. Adamczyk5.505740LSep 26 · 12:00J. Levicky2.201211113V. Adamczyk1.6110780LSep 26 · 11:00V. Zidek1.83991111113V. Adamczyk1.8311116872LSep 26 · 10:30V. Adamczyk2.506312101P. Slavik1.50111110123WSep 26 · 09:00V. Adamczyk1.44913118113L. Velicka2.63111151182LSep 26 · 08:00V. Adamczyk2.001113671P. Slavik1.7391511113LSep 26 · 07:30L. Velicka2.63812611113V. Adamczyk1.44111011892WSep 26 · 06:00V. Adamczyk2.00114611113D. Machander1.7361111882LSep 24 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.337850M. Blejchar3.251111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Walek
Nothing scheduled
V. Adamczyk
Sep 29 · 16:30V. Adamczyk2.38J. Schwan1.53—Sep 30 · 06:30V. Adamczyk2.25J. Schwan1.57—Sep 30 · 07:30V. Adamczyk2.63R. Skacelik1.44—Sep 30 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.67R. Vavrecka2.10—Sep 30 · 10:00V. Adamczyk2.75J. Cabak1.40—Sep 30 · 11:00V. Adamczyk1.67R. Vavrecka2.10—Sep 30 · 12:30V. Adamczyk2.63R. Skacelik1.44—
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