TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13104439
Played Sep 9Finished
Maciej Kubik
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Horia Stefan Ursut
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kubik to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Kubik above · Horia Stefan Ursut below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-6
Point 51 set 3, 9-6 — our read held Maciej Kubik at 57.1%
51 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Maciej Kubik 1–0 Horia Stefan Ursut Horia Stefan Ursut has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Kubik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kubik 80% vs Ursut 60%
Kubik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubik 80% vs Ursut 40%
Kubik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubik +2 · Ursut +3
Ursut
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kubik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ursut form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubik 1.17 / Ursut 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kubik)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13104439
Kubik1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ursut4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKubik1wins
AwayUrsut0wins
Kubik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKubikUrsutK − UBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubikUrsutBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 4 / 1080%40%8 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.71.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubikKubik 1.17/Ursut 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Kubik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kubik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 17:35M. Kubik331111113H. Ursut206860
M. Kubik10
LSep 10 · 16:15M. Kubik2.756121011102A. Gacina1.401110128123WSep 9 · 08:40M. Kubik1.17113A. Klajber4.5060WSep 8 · 14:10M. Kubik1.171611113A. Doyen4.5014960LAug 11 · 17:45A. Lind1.1112811113M. Kubik6.001011581WAug 9 · 17:55M. Kubik1.61791111113D. Levajac2.1911117632WAug 9 · 16:45M. Kubik1.40791111113D. Levajac2.7511117632WAug 9 · 14:25P. Jain1.737380M. Kubik1.911111113WAug 9 · 09:45P. Jain2.007380M. Kubik1.731111113WAug 8 · 12:15A. Salifou3.7510760M. Kubik1.251211113LJun 10 · 10:55M. Kubik2.1011811692K. Hamada1.67911911113
H. Ursut10
WSep 9 · 08:10A. Kouraichi1.2011115492H. Ursut4.33991111113WSep 8 · 08:10H. Ursut2.389121012113R. Istrate1.531110121012WJun 2 · 15:00H. Ursut—129611113M. Boer—101111462LJun 1 · 16:15I. Chirita1.201111113H. Ursut4.335760LJun 1 · 09:00A. Levenko1.1711611113H. Ursut4.50911771LMay 29 · 10:20G. Gomez1.17111111113H. Ursut4.50134981LMay 11 · 08:45H. Ursut—5790R. Vila—1111113LMay 10 · 15:20H. Ursut1.307990B. Varga3.401111113LApr 10 · 16:25I. Ban1.25912611113H. Ursut3.75111011962WApr 10 · 10:20J. Modi1.8358121262H. Ursut1.8311111010113
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