TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13096170
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrea Puppo
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111179111113711
Benjamin Fruchart
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:14 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeBenjamin Fruchart to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrea Puppo above · Benjamin Fruchart below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 104 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Benjamin Fruchart at 76.6%
104 points played in total.
H2H Andrea Puppo 0–1 Benjamin Fruchart Andrea Puppo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:14What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Fruchart
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Puppo 60% vs Fruchart 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Puppo 60% vs Fruchart 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Puppo -1 · Fruchart -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Fruchart)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fruchart form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPuppo 4.00 / Fruchart 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Fruchart)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13096170
Puppo4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Fruchart1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePuppo0wins
AwayFruchart1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFruchart leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPuppoFruchartP − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.053.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuppoFruchartBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FruchartPuppo 4.00/Fruchart 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Fruchart · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fruchart won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 07:00A. Puppo51131191172B. Fruchart531171113113
A. Puppo10
LSep 9 · 07:25R. Kawakami1.131111113A. Puppo5.505860LJul 3 · 09:20A. Puppo2.20116841R. Heras1.6181111113WJul 3 · 08:35F. Mourier—1115991A. Puppo—91711113WJul 2 · 09:10A. Puppo—1111113N. Tretiak—8970WJul 1 · 14:05A. Puppo—1111113A. Siraj—6560LApr 20 · 17:25R. Kawakami1.2111811113A. Puppo3.80911881WApr 20 · 10:20A. Puppo1.671111113A. Doyen2.107360LApr 14 · 09:50A. Puppo—11911882S. Palusek—411511113WApr 13 · 15:40A. Puppo—11211113D. Floro—911651LMar 25 · 18:10A. Puppo1.90115491R. Betelu1.8041111113
B. Fruchart10
LSep 8 · 13:00R. Kawakami1.361111113B. Fruchart3.005350LSep 8 · 11:15R. Kawakami1.271111113B. Fruchart3.355350LAug 27 · 10:55G. Kim1.571011611113B. Fruchart2.2512711582WAug 26 · 18:00B. Fruchart4.40111258113A. Gacina1.16710111192WAug 26 · 10:55B. Fruchart1.20101411113N. Callaba4.331212981LMay 22 · 10:05B. Fruchart2.20124961N. Stoyanov1.61101111113WMay 21 · 15:10A. Noirault2.754570B. Fruchart1.401111113WMay 21 · 09:50B. Fruchart1.061111113I. Vila8.003750WMay 20 · 14:35B. Fruchart1.171111113D. Chaperon4.507690LApr 15 · 10:20B. Fruchart1.83411691C. Green1.8311611113
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