TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals
WTT Contender Almaty Women QualsMatch #13065651
Played Sep 3Finished
Yashaswini Ghorpade
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911311114117
Valeria Shcherbatykh
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeValeria Shcherbatykh to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYashaswini Ghorpade above · Valeria Shcherbatykh below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Valeria Shcherbatykh at 58.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Yashaswini Ghorpade 1–0 Valeria Shcherbatykh Valeria Shcherbatykh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ghorpade
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Ghorpade 40% vs Shcherbatykh 60%
Shcherbatykh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ghorpade 30% vs Shcherbatykh 70%
Shcherbatykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ghorpade -2 · Shcherbatykh +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ghorpade) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbatykh form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGhorpade 1.50 / Shcherbatykh 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Ghorpade)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals · #13065651
Ghorpade1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Shcherbatykh2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGhorpade1wins
AwayShcherbatykh0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGhorpade leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGhorpadeShcherbatykhG − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.040.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGhorpadeShcherbatykhBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 7 / 1030%70%3 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GhorpadeGhorpade 1.50/Shcherbatykh 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Ghorpade · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ghorpade won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 12:45Y. Ghorpade—119311103V. Shcherbatykh—71111472
Y. Ghorpade10
LSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153LAug 8 · 13:00Y. Ghorpade3.007770O. Paranang1.361111113LJun 29 · 19:00Y. Zhu1.0511511113Y. Ghorpade8.50711391WJun 28 · 01:05Y. Ghorpade1.5091111113G. Piccolin2.50114391WJun 27 · 02:15Y. Ghorpade1.3811119113S. Surjan2.65661181LJun 18 · 16:10Y. Ghorpade1.83611111092A. Dragoman1.83116512113LJun 18 · 04:00Y. Ghorpade1.83611111092A. Dragoman1.83116512113WJun 17 · 17:35Z. Zhu1.619390Y. Ghorpade2.201111113LJun 10 · 04:45S. Mukherjee1.8041114113Y. Ghorpade1.801161271LJun 9 · 17:40S. Mukherjee1.8341114113Y. Ghorpade1.831161271
V. Shcherbatykh10
WSep 2 · 12:35V. Shcherbatykh—1111113M. Lukyanova—5570WSep 1 · 13:25V. Shcherbatykh—91211113A. Zavarykina—1110461LJul 27 · 07:10Y. Yeh1.301113113V. Shcherbatykh3.4091180WJul 26 · 13:15V. Shcherbatykh1.081111113Z. Koshkumbayeva7.009780LJul 4 · 09:45V. Shcherbatykh1.8394110E. Harac1.831111133WJul 3 · 15:15K. Riliskyte3.757370V. Shcherbatykh1.251111113LMay 12 · 15:10W. Ng1.731116173V. Shcherbatykh2.00414150WMay 11 · 14:05V. Shcherbatykh—1111113Z. Koshkumbayeva—6520WMay 10 · 13:35V. Shcherbatykh1.1211139113K. Riliskyte5.204111181WMay 10 · 07:35V. Shcherbatykh—1111113E. Yonter—6330
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