TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals
WTT Contender Almaty Women QualsMatch #13065626
Played Sep 3Finished
Christina Kallberg
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511611118117119
Valeriia Kotsiur
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–3Last 7Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValeriia Kotsiur to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingChristina Kallberg above · Valeriia Kotsiur below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Valeriia Kotsiur at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kallberg
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kallberg 40% vs Kotsiur 60%
Kotsiur
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kallberg 60% vs Kotsiur 57%
—
Too close
3pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kallberg -1 · Kotsiur +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kallberg) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotsiur form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKallberg 1.36 / Kotsiur 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kallberg)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals · #13065626
Kallberg1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kotsiur3.00
57%won 4 of 7 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest57%takes the first set · 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKallbergKotsiurBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 4 / 760%57.1%6 / 10 vs 4 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KallbergKallberg 1.36/Kotsiur 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kallberg · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kallberg won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Kallberg10
LSep 4 · 06:45C. Kallberg2.63514981E. Abraamian1.44111211113LAug 13 · 16:35C. Kallberg8.50135631Y. Chen1.05111111113WAug 11 · 12:20C. Kallberg3.0011812113M. Pesotska1.369111071LJun 26 · 19:55Z. Akasheva3.40113513113C. Kallberg1.30911111132LJun 11 · 17:55S. Odo1.081211113C. Kallberg7.0010450WJun 10 · 15:40Y. Peng1.36119101172C. Kallberg3.00611127113WJun 10 · 09:45C. Kallberg3.251111912113S. Zhu1.3343111472WJun 10 · 03:00C. Kallberg1.51111195113Y. Lam2.2947111192WJun 9 · 17:05C. Kallberg1.44111195113Y. Lam2.6347111192LJun 4 · 10:10C. Joo1.171111113C. Kallberg4.506830
V. Kotsiur7
WSep 2 · 11:35V. Kotsiur4.3311118113M. Taylakova1.20981181WSep 1 · 12:20G. Torshayeva—5570V. Kotsiur—1111113LFeb 5 · 09:10V. Matuinina1.8311118113V. Kotsiur1.83981151WFeb 4 · 14:05V. Kotsiur4.0012137113G. Park1.2210111191LFeb 3 · 12:35V. Kotsiur—9880V. Shcherbatykh—1111113WFeb 2 · 13:30M. Stoffregen—8570V. Kotsiur—1111113LFeb 2 · 08:35Y. Sakuma—1111133V. Kotsiur—96110
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