TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals
WTT Contender Almaty Women QualsMatch #13060298
Played Sep 2Finished
Ekaterina Zironova
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–3Last 9Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210611811911––
Maria Panfilova
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeEkaterina Zironova to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEkaterina Zironova above · Maria Panfilova below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ekaterina Zironova at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:34What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Panfilova
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zironova 80% vs Panfilova 60%
Zironova
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zironova 67% vs Panfilova 60%
—
Too close
7pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zironova +1 · Panfilova +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Panfilova) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zironova form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZironova 2.50 / Panfilova 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Panfilova)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals · #13060298
Zironova2.50
67%won 6 of 9 · last 10
oldest → newest
88%takes the first set · 7 of 8
Panfilova1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZironovaPanfilovaBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanfilovaZironova 2.50/Panfilova 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Panfilova · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Panfilova won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Zironova10
WSep 1 · 13:15A. Ashkeyeva—71080E. Zironova—1112113LJul 27 · 07:10M. Takeya1.301111113E. Zironova3.403660WJul 26 · 05:50E. Zironova—1111113L. Kamolova—6530WJul 25 · 12:40H. Kim—711671E. Zironova—11611113WJul 25 · 05:20E. Zironova—1111113S. Abdimannobova—2330WJul 24 · 11:55E. Zironova—11911113K. Sudarnita—311621WJul 1 · 15:15Y. Habech—6470E. Zironova—1111113LJul 1 · 08:45K. Riliskyte—711118113E. Zironova—11991162WFeb 20 · 15:40E. Zironova—69111173E. Guseva—11117832LFeb 20 · 07:15E. Zironova—10114901O. Vorobeva—118111103
M. Panfilova10
LSep 4 · 06:45M. Panfilova4.5012770A. Kaufmann1.171411113WSep 3 · 07:20Y. Ojio1.1710770M. Panfilova4.501211113WSep 3 · 07:20Y. Ojio—10770M. Panfilova—1211113WSep 1 · 13:55N. Serikbay—5240M. Panfilova—1111113LJul 4 · 14:40S. Wani1.83125811113M. Panfilova1.83101111792WJul 4 · 09:10M. Panfilova1.6711411113V. Matuinina2.10811881WJul 3 · 14:40A. Yehia4.503670M. Panfilova1.171111113LMay 13 · 09:10M. Panfilova1.731191110102T. Kotecha2.00511612123WMay 12 · 15:45L. Rakovac1.67511851M. Panfilova2.1011811113LMay 11 · 10:20M. Panfilova—1191151O. Yilmaz—13114113
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