TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12466440
Played Aug 21Finished
Sota Noda
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111416115112
Zhe Yu Clarence Chew
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSota Noda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSota Noda above · Zhe Yu Clarence Chew below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 95 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Sota Noda at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Sota Noda 1–0 Zhe Yu Clarence Chew Zhe Yu Clarence Chew has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Noda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Noda 60% vs Chew 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Noda 60% vs Chew 40%
Noda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Noda -1 · Chew +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Noda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chew form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNoda 1.44 / Chew 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Noda)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12466440
Noda1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
88%takes the first set · 7 of 8
Chew2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNoda1wins
AwayChew0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNoda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNodaChewN − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match55.040.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNodaChewBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 9 vs 4 / 1066.7%40%5 / 9 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NodaNoda 1.44/Chew 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Noda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Noda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 21 · 16:50S. Noda—1181411113Z. Chew—61116522
S. Noda10
LAug 22 · 11:20S. Noda3.40111111782Y. Feng1.30991311113LAug 31 · 10:00S. Noda1.912650H. Desai1.801111113WAug 30 · 18:05S. Noda1.801112113D. Ono1.9161060WAug 30 · 09:55N. Alamian1.837780S. Noda1.831111113WAug 29 · 17:30S. Kolasa1.807121191S. Noda1.9111101393WAug 29 · 09:45S. Noda1.801111163K. Yoshiyama1.9158140LAug 28 · 09:20S. Noda1.83111011462S. Kolasa1.839121112113WAug 28 · 07:35S. Noda1.251111113J. Makara3.758440LAug 22 · 17:45S. Noda1.83128461C. Nuytinck1.83101111103WAug 22 · 10:10M. Dani2.253142101S. Noda1.57111211123
Z. Chew10
WAug 20 · 15:40Z. Chew2.20111112113A. Naumi1.611361061LAug 20 · 09:10Z. Chew1.53891111102M. Froseth2.38111176123WAug 19 · 14:35Z. Chew1.25147914113N. Callaba3.751211111272LAug 5 · 04:30Z. Chew—811101182K. Chopda—113124113WAug 4 · 09:30Z. Chew—1111113E. Tormis—8660LJun 16 · 12:40Z. Chew2.3861312992K. Ho1.5311111011113LJun 9 · 11:15Z. Chew—11314992M. Kwan—9111211113LFeb 19 · 03:00Z. Chew4.331212971M. Shah1.20101411113LJan 28 · 14:40Z. Chew1.4291111992T. Preechayan2.60118611113WJan 28 · 07:35Z. Chew1.071111173Y. Lai6.5087150
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