TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin Women QualsMatch #12459861
Played Aug 19Finished
Min-Hsin Chen
Home
1.04
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114116811811511
Nathaly Paredes
Away
9.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–4Last 6Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMin-Hsin Chen to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMin-Hsin Chen above · Nathaly Paredes below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 86 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Min-Hsin Chen at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Min-Hsin Chen 0–1 Nathaly Paredes Min-Hsin Chen has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Chen
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Chen 40% vs Paredes 20%
Chen
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chen 50% vs Paredes 33%
Chen
Wrong
17pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chen +1 · Paredes -4
Paredes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Chen) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chen form (40%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChen 1.04 / Paredes 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Chen)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals · #12459861
Chen1.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Paredes9.00
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 3 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChen0wins
AwayParedes1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderParedes leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChenParedesC − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.043.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChenParedesBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 1 / 650%33.3%5 / 10 vs 1 / 6Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChenChen 1.04/Paredes 9.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
89.6%
Chen · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Paredes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 19 · 16:35M. Chen—11118852N. Paredes—461111113
M. Chen10
LAug 27 · 09:10M. Takeya1.25511126113M. Chen3.75115101182WAug 26 · 16:15M. Chen1.3391111113J. Lai3.25115441WAug 26 · 04:00E. Cincurova8.0013750M. Chen1.061511113LAug 22 · 10:45N. Mittelham1.30137119113M. Chen3.40111191162WAug 21 · 09:45M. Chen—1111113K. Wegrzyn—8560WAug 21 · 08:00M. Chen1.441111113K. Wegrzyn2.638560WAug 20 · 09:45M. Chen1.6781114113P. Wonglakhon2.101141271WAug 19 · 10:55M. Chen1.801111113E. Taguchi1.918590LMay 22 · 08:00Y. Wan1.7311611113M. Chen2.00911891LMay 18 · 11:10M. Chen2.6391080N. Bajor1.441112113
N. Paredes10
LAug 26 · 09:05C. Lai1.1711129113N. Paredes4.506101181WAug 24 · 14:20N. Paredes1.5612511113Z. Pawelec2.291011871LAug 24 · 09:50N. Paredes—11850T. Ke—1311113LAug 20 · 09:45N. Paredes4.335120E. Taguchi1.201111113LAug 19 · 10:55P. Wonglakhon1.0311116113N. Paredes10.00821181LJul 8 · 22:25V. Rios—811811113N. Paredes—11911742LMay 17 · 10:10S. Aoki1.0191111113N. Paredes15.00115131LJun 26 · 23:45D. Ortega1.361391111114N. Paredes3.0011116951WJun 26 · 18:15N. Paredes1.837111111114V. Strassburger1.831169571WJun 25 · 21:00G. Takahashi—814121163N. Paredes—1112147114
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