TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin Women QualsMatch #12456870
Played Aug 19Finished
Chloe Lai
Home
1.11
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118511114111––
Natalia Gajewska
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–5Last 7Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 81.4% is still 81.4%
Graded at full timeChloe Lai to win
81.4%
81.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingChloe Lai above · Natalia Gajewska below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 62 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Chloe Lai at 81.4%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:14What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Lai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lai 60% vs Gajewska 20%
Lai
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lai 30% vs Gajewska 29%
—
Too close
1pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lai -2 · Gajewska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Lai) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lai form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLai 1.11 / Gajewska 6.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Lai)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals · #12456870
Lai1.11
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gajewska6.00
29%won 2 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLaiGajewskaBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 4 / 1030%40%3 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.11.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaiLai 1.11/Gajewska 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Lai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Lai10
LAug 26 · 16:15C. Lai2.005780D. Ortega1.731111113WAug 26 · 09:05C. Lai1.1711129113N. Paredes4.506101181LAug 21 · 15:05C. Lai—4540N. Bajor—1111113LAug 21 · 08:00C. Lai4.334540N. Bajor1.201111113WAug 20 · 11:30A. Dymytrenko2.005111381C. Lai1.7311715113WAug 19 · 15:10C. Lai—441111123Y. Kim—111177102LFeb 21 · 09:45S. Moyland—1111113C. Lai—5640LFeb 21 · 09:45S. Moyland1.301111113C. Lai3.405640WFeb 20 · 11:30C. Lai5.003111111123T. Su1.14111368102WFeb 20 · 03:00C. Lai1.57118711113B. Burgos2.2581111792
N. Gajewska10
LAug 26 · 15:05M. Loy1.0811119113N. Gajewska5.40691131WAug 26 · 04:00N. Gajewska1.73811711113N. Puchovanova2.0011911972LAug 20 · 11:35N. Gajewska—101221582Y. Kim—12101113113LAug 19 · 15:10A. Dymytrenko1.171111113N. Gajewska4.509590LApr 20 · 16:15H. Arapovic1.0611211113N. Gajewska8.001110461WApr 20 · 08:00F. Diaz2.10581171N. Gajewska1.6711115103LApr 14 · 08:05N. Arlia—11119113N. Gajewska—391161LApr 13 · 09:15N. Gajewska1.25118531A. Avezou3.4591111113LNov 13 · 10:10Z. Akasheva—51111113N. Gajewska—116351WNov 12 · 17:15N. Gajewska—3B. Burgos—2
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