TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin Women QualsMatch #12456869
Played Aug 19Finished
Zhanerke Koshkumbayeva
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11710121171012119
Zuzanna Pawelec
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–6Last 7Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeZuzanna Pawelec to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZhanerke Koshkumbayeva above · Zuzanna Pawelec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Zuzanna Pawelec at 62.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Zhanerke Koshkumbayeva 1–0 Zuzanna Pawelec Zuzanna Pawelec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pawelec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Koshkumbayeva 40% vs Pawelec 20%
Koshkumbayeva
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koshkumbayeva 30% vs Pawelec 14%
Koshkumbayeva
Correct
16pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koshkumbayeva -2 · Pawelec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pawelec) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawelec form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoshkumbayeva 2.10 / Pawelec 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pawelec)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals · #12456869
Koshkumbayeva2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Pawelec1.67
14%won 1 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
17%takes the first set · 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKoshkumbayeva1wins
AwayPawelec0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKoshkumbayeva leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKoshkumbayevaPawelecK − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match53.047.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoshkumbayevaPawelecBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 2 / 730%28.6%3 / 10 vs 2 / 7Avg sets wonper match1.51.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawelecKoshkumbayeva 2.10/Pawelec 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Pawelec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koshkumbayeva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 19 · 10:55Z. Koshkumbayeva—11101110113Z. Pawelec—71271292
Z. Koshkumbayeva10
LSep 3 · 06:45K. Akae—1211113Z. Koshkumbayeva—10760LSep 3 · 05:00K. Akae1.041211113Z. Koshkumbayeva9.0010760LAug 21 · 15:40Z. Koshkumbayeva1.837780J. Lai1.831111113LAug 21 · 08:00Z. Koshkumbayeva1.677780J. Lai2.101111113WAug 20 · 10:55Z. Koshkumbayeva4.0011118113I. Singeorzan1.22961181WAug 19 · 16:55Z. Koshkumbayeva1.6711119103A. Michalak2.10781181LJul 26 · 13:15V. Shcherbatykh1.081111113Z. Koshkumbayeva7.009780LMay 11 · 14:05V. Shcherbatykh—1111113Z. Koshkumbayeva—6520WMay 10 · 14:00Z. Koshkumbayeva—1111113E. Yonter—8420LMay 10 · 07:35Z. Koshkumbayeva1.44104111452K. Riliskyte2.631211812113
Z. Pawelec10
LAug 26 · 08:50A. Klempererova1.831211113Z. Pawelec1.8310780LAug 25 · 14:00Z. Pawelec—10890T. Ke—1211113LAug 24 · 14:20N. Paredes1.5612511113Z. Pawelec2.291011871LAug 20 · 10:45A. Michalak—1411113Z. Pawelec—12220LAug 19 · 17:10I. Singeorzan1.171111912103Z. Pawelec4.5029111462WApr 19 · 15:05Z. Pawelec—811811113N. Grigelova—11511882LApr 18 · 16:20Z. Pawelec—11790N. Nemethova—1311113LApr 13 · 09:05D. Lee—11511113Z. Pawelec—311571LNov 29 · 20:15Z. Pawelec—1S. Minurri—3LNov 25 · 10:10Z. Pawelec3.753950Z. Deng1.251111113
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