TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin Women QualsMatch #12456867
Played Aug 19Finished
Anna Brzyska
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7119111151111012
Lorena Morsch
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeAnna Brzyska to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnna Brzyska above · Lorena Morsch below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Anna Brzyska at 64.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Anna Brzyska 0–1 Lorena Morsch Anna Brzyska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:12What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Brzyska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Brzyska 60% vs Morsch 40%
Brzyska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brzyska 50% vs Morsch 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brzyska -1 · Morsch -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Brzyska) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morsch form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrzyska 1.28 / Morsch 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Brzyska)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Women Quals · #12456867
Brzyska1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Morsch3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 4 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrzyska0wins
AwayMorsch1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMorsch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrzyskaMorschB − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.040.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrzyskaMorschBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 2 / 950%33.3%5 / 10 vs 2 / 9Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrzyskaBrzyska 1.28/Morsch 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Brzyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Morsch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 19 · 10:55A. Brzyska—791111102L. Morsch—111151123
A. Brzyska10
LAug 26 · 04:00J. Neumann2.756111211133A. Brzyska1.40119145112WAug 20 · 09:15Y. Wu—4171191A. Brzyska—11197113LMar 14 · 17:10A. Brzyska7.50123661M. Takeya1.07101111113WMar 14 · 10:45S. Tokic2.6311611592A. Brzyska1.44311511113LNov 13 · 16:55N. Bajor1.251111113A. Brzyska3.758770WNov 13 · 10:45A. Brzyska—111156113S. Yokoi—98111182WNov 12 · 16:40A. Rodriguez2.751151181A. Brzyska1.4013119113LOct 17 · 08:50A. Brzyska5.001520J. Li1.141111113LOct 12 · 11:00M. Yovkova—31112113A. Brzyska—1191071LAug 30 · 09:50A. Brzyska1.8311851162I. Malobabic1.8321111993
L. Morsch10
LAug 26 · 09:20T. Ke2.101411113L. Morsch1.6712950LAug 21 · 08:00L. Morsch5.009440R. Mende1.141111113WAug 19 · 16:30Y. Wu1.119760L. Morsch6.001111113LMay 16 · 15:35N. Zheng—1113163L. Morsch—811140LMay 15 · 11:15L. Morsch—1251191I. Matos—14117113WMar 3 · 16:05J. Wong1.835490L. Morsch1.831111113WMar 2 · 16:05L. Morsch—11115113D. Kelly—861181LMar 2 · 10:45Y. Kaneyoshi1.011111113L. Morsch15.007680LNov 6 · 11:25L. Morsch1.44118761J. Wang2.6331111113LNov 5 · 16:00A. Pavlovic1.4421211113L. Morsch2.631110951
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