TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12383790
Played Aug 9Finished
Elena Zaharia
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
131111712146111210
Xiaona Shan
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeXiaona Shan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingElena Zaharia above · Xiaona Shan below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 107 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Xiaona Shan at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Elena Zaharia 1–0 Xiaona Shan Xiaona Shan has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:36What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Shan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Zaharia 80% vs Shan 60%
Zaharia
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaharia 60% vs Shan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaharia +2 · Shan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Shan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shan form (60%) is below what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaharia 4.50 / Shan 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Shan)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12383790
Zaharia4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Shan1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZaharia1wins
AwayShan0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZaharia leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZahariaShanZ − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match54.053.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahariaShanBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShanZaharia 4.50/Shan 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Shan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zaharia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 9 · 10:20E. Zaharia—1311126123X. Shan—1171411102
E. Zaharia10
LAug 12 · 18:20M. Kuai1.0211158113E. Zaharia10.506131151WAug 9 · 17:55A. Zarif1.82571161E. Zaharia1.8211118113WAug 9 · 16:45A. Zarif2.00571161E. Zaharia1.7311118113WAug 9 · 10:20E. Zaharia4.501311126123X. Shan1.171171411102WAug 8 · 12:15E. Zaharia1.4051113113D. Vivarelli2.751191151LJun 28 · 19:00M. Kuai1.051111113E. Zaharia8.503640WJun 28 · 01:40E. Zaharia4.501111113X. Yang1.173460WJun 27 · 03:25G. Monfardini1.7091111772E. Zaharia1.96119911113WJun 26 · 19:20J. Neumann4.333840E. Zaharia1.201111113LJun 2 · 15:00E. Zaharia1.83912361I. Malobabic1.83111011113
X. Shan10
LAug 9 · 10:20E. Zaharia4.501311126123X. Shan1.171171411102WAug 8 · 13:35I. Malobabic8.004630X. Shan1.061111113LJul 1 · 03:20M. Ito1.081111113X. Shan7.002280WJun 28 · 19:35A. Dragoman2.38118581X. Shan1.5381111113WJun 28 · 01:05X. Shan1.7311118133W. Ng2.008611111WJun 27 · 24:30X. Shan1.2561312113S. Zhang3.7511111081LJun 16 · 17:00B. Varady2.25131188133X. Shan1.571181111112LJun 12 · 09:35M. Hirano1.2011115113X. Shan4.33751111WJun 11 · 10:10X. Shan3.25135115113H. Goda1.33111191182WJun 10 · 15:00M. Batra2.151181310112X. Shan1.558111112133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.