TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380141
Played Aug 8Finished
Zhao Yun Tan
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141121315116119
Hana Arapovic
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:47 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeHana Arapovic to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZhao Yun Tan above · Hana Arapovic below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Hana Arapovic at 64.5%
104 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:47What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Arapovic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Tan 60% vs Arapovic 20%
Tan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tan 60% vs Arapovic 30%
Tan
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tan -1 · Arapovic -4
Arapovic
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Arapovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arapovic form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTan 2.63 / Arapovic 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Arapovic)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380141
Tan2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Arapovic1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTanArapovicBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 3 / 1060%30%6 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArapovicTan 2.63/Arapovic 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Arapovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tan won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Tan10
LAug 22 · 15:40K. Omoda1.501112113Z. Tan2.5091090WAug 22 · 10:45Z. Tan2.3871111113J. Zeng1.53116691WAug 21 · 08:00F. Schreiner3.758320Z. Tan1.251111113LAug 9 · 12:40S. Moyland1.20881111103Z. Tan4.3311119592LJun 28 · 20:45Z. Tan2.0051080M. Zhang1.731112113WJun 28 · 02:20Z. Akasheva3.25117971Z. Tan1.3391111113WJun 27 · 17:00Z. Tan2.02121311113A. Mukherjee1.6510111321WJun 26 · 20:30J. Wu3.755450Z. Tan1.251111113LJun 17 · 20:50Y. Yang1.1111911113Z. Tan6.50311641LJun 17 · 17:33Y. Yang1.1111911113Z. Tan6.00311641
H. Arapovic10
LAug 21 · 08:00N. Mittelham1.171111113H. Arapovic4.507790LJul 3 · 08:45S. Lee1.7311118113H. Arapovic2.00381191LJun 26 · 21:40H. Arapovic1.28711791F. Bergand3.5011511113LJun 16 · 09:10S. Mukherjee1.7351111113H. Arapovic2.00115591LJun 12 · 16:45M. Harimoto1.011111113H. Arapovic12.004910WJun 11 · 17:20F. Han1.10116561H. Arapovic6.5071111113LJun 4 · 17:15A. Sasao1.20101111113H. Arapovic4.33127671LMay 30 · 16:50Y. Yeh1.50117116113H. Arapovic2.2571151162LMay 30 · 15:40Y. Yeh1.53117116113H. Arapovic2.3871151162WMay 30 · 10:10H. Arapovic1.101111113M. Yovkova6.508960
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