TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12288984
Played Jul 23Finished
Emanuel Otalvaro
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119511711711
Joe Seyfried
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:40 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeJoe Seyfried to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEmanuel Otalvaro above · Joe Seyfried below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Joe Seyfried at 83.0%
90 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Seyfried
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Otalvaro 60% vs Seyfried 20%
Otalvaro
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Otalvaro 40% vs Seyfried 60%
Seyfried
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Otalvaro +2 · Seyfried -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Seyfried)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seyfried form (20%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOtalvaro 5.50 / Seyfried 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Seyfried)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12288984
Otalvaro5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Seyfried1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOtalvaroSeyfriedBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeyfriedOtalvaro 5.50/Seyfried 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Seyfried · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Seyfried won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Otalvaro10
WJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 22 · 14:35L. Paiva—8660E. Otalvaro—1111113LJul 11 · 16:20G. Teodoro1.571111113E. Otalvaro2.256690WJul 10 · 15:20J. Torres3.506940E. Otalvaro1.281111113LApr 20 · 18:00H. Kwon1.4011511113E. Otalvaro2.75611861WApr 20 · 08:00N. Lebaka3.0014914121E. Otalvaro1.36161112143LApr 15 · 11:30E. Otalvaro1.918111171J. Zelinka1.8011813113LApr 9 · 15:15M. Karlsson1.101111113E. Otalvaro6.506740LFeb 19 · 08:35S. Gnanasekaran1.1413911113E. Otalvaro5.001111761LNov 7 · 13:20Q. Wong1.7311811103E. Otalvaro2.00611321
J. Seyfried10
LJul 24 · 15:45Y. Feng1.531111113J. Seyfried2.387950LJun 29 · 20:45J. Seyfried2.38115751D. Ovtcharov1.5391111113LJun 19 · 16:10D. Ovtcharov1.4411811133J. Seyfried2.632119111WJun 18 · 04:00D. Kozul3.401191111102J. Seyfried1.30131178123LJun 4 · 11:20S. Gauzy1.3691111113J. Seyfried3.00116731LMay 21 · 08:00K. Yoshimura1.576111110113J. Seyfried2.2511361292WApr 22 · 16:15J. Oyebode3.7591161182J. Seyfried1.25118119113WApr 22 · 09:45Y. Wang2.0074140J. Seyfried1.731111163WApr 21 · 17:25A. Gacina1.8311511392J. Seyfried1.83911711113WApr 21 · 11:00H. Kwon2.209560J. Seyfried1.611111113
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