TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual
WTT Star Contender Brazil QualMatch #12285401
Played Jul 23Finished
Felipe Doti Arado
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–6Last 7Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210119––––
Man Ho Kwan
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:32 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeMan Ho Kwan to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFelipe Doti Arado above · Man Ho Kwan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Man Ho Kwan at 62.6%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Kwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Arado 20% vs Kwan 60%
Kwan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arado 14% vs Kwan 40%
Kwan
Wrong
26pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Arado -1 · Kwan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kwan) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwan form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArado 4.50 / Kwan 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Kwan)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual · #12285401
Arado4.50
14%won 1 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
Kwan1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAradoKwanBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 7 vs 4 / 1014.3%40%1 / 7 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KwanArado 4.50/Kwan 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Kwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Arado won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Arado8
LJul 24 · 20:35C. Wong1.06101111133F. Arado8.001289111LJul 10 · 15:55M. Aguirre1.071111611113F. Arado7.5013511552WApr 30 · 19:30D. Dilshodov—513671F. Arado—111111113LApr 20 · 08:00F. Arado2.00991161P. Dziuba1.7311114113LApr 15 · 11:30G. Teodoro1.251111113F. Arado3.754890LMar 14 · 17:40H. Deschamps1.0511113113F. Arado8.50781191LMar 9 · 17:50F. Arado4.35115191I. Ban1.1611111113LFeb 19 · 08:00G. Teodoro1.22111011173F. Arado4.009127151
M. Kwan10
LAug 5 · 10:45M. Kwan—9960J. Choi—1111113WAug 5 · 05:20M. Kwan—111199173F. Shakiba—971111152WAug 4 · 09:35M. Kwan—1111113W. Wong—8890WJul 22 · 21:45M. Kwan2.5071111113B. Haug1.50113641WJul 21 · 20:35M. Kwan—11116113A. Poletto—841161LJun 17 · 09:35M. Kwan4.50591121S. Aida1.1711117113WJun 16 · 12:05M. Kwan1.57581111113J. Chua2.2511115852LJun 10 · 09:10M. Kwan4.007690L. Yuan1.221111113LJun 9 · 17:40M. Kwan2.75119561D. Kozul1.4071111113WJun 9 · 11:15Z. Chew—11314992M. Kwan—9111211113
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