TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12283698
Played Jul 23Finished
Ana Codina
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711117511117
Karina Ayumi Senaga Shiray
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarina Ayumi Senaga Shiray to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAna Codina above · Karina Ayumi Senaga Shiray below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 10-7
Point 86 set 5, 10-7 — our read held Karina Ayumi Senaga Shiray at 54.0%
86 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ana Codina 1–0 Karina Ayumi Senaga Shiray Karina Ayumi Senaga Shiray has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Shiray
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Codina 0% vs Shiray 20%
Shiray
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Codina 10% vs Shiray 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Codina -5 · Shiray -1
Codina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shiray)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shiray form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCodina 1.91 / Shiray 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shiray)+2.5pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12283698
Codina1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Shiray1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCodina1wins
AwayShiray0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderCodina leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCodinaShirayC − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.042.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCodinaShirayBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 10 vs 2 / 1010%20%1 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match0.90.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShirayCodina 1.91/Shiray 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shiray · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Codina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 07:00A. Codina—117115113K. Shiray—61171172
A. Codina10
LJul 24 · 16:20S. Yokoi1.011111113A. Codina15.007580LJul 10 · 14:45V. Rios1.8311117113A. Codina1.83571171LMay 1 · 12:05G. Piccolin—1113113A. Codina—71160LApr 30 · 09:25A. Codina1.1711941192S. Altinkaya4.50811118113LNov 7 · 12:00C. Olivera2.2013611103A. Codina1.611111981LSep 26 · 07:10A. Codina2.2511771152C. Lutz1.57611119113LJul 31 · 20:35Y. Ghorpade1.081111123A. Codina7.0089100LJul 24 · 17:00Y. Huang1.111111113A. Codina6.006380LJul 3 · 22:05A. Codina5.508780F. Bergand1.131111113WJun 28 · 15:30A. Codina1.501112113M. Torre2.5051030
K. Shiray10
LJul 11 · 15:45K. Shiray3.407290B. Burgos1.301111113WJul 10 · 14:45E. Leon2.5511911962K. Shiray1.42911911113LMay 29 · 15:40S. Coll1.6111K. Shiray2.2000LMar 14 · 10:45S. Aoki1.021111113K. Shiray10.506750LMar 9 · 07:00M. Imaeda1.401111113K. Shiray2.758470WMar 4 · 10:45K. Shiray3.001111113S. Mirkadirova1.367930LNov 25 · 10:10K. Shiray7.50119971J. Wu1.0731111103LNov 18 · 07:35K. Shiray4.339420L. Ser1.201111113LSep 18 · 08:05M. Ashtari1.531111103K. Shiray2.385880LSep 13 · 09:20K. Shiray2.639118121C. Lai1.4411711143
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