TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12283697
Played Jul 23Finished
Filippa Bergand
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411411––––
Wing Lam Ng
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeWing Lam Ng to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilippa Bergand above · Wing Lam Ng below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-7
Point 45 set 3, 4-7 — our read held Wing Lam Ng at 62.5%
45 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Filippa Bergand 0–1 Wing Lam Ng Filippa Bergand has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ng
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Bergand 20% vs Ng 40%
Ng
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bergand 50% vs Ng 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bergand -1 · Ng -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ng) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ng form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBergand 2.63 / Ng 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Ng)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12283697
Bergand2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Ng1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBergand0wins
AwayNg1wins
Ng leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBergandNgB − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBergandNgBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 1050%40%5 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NgBergand 2.63/Ng 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Ng · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ng won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 23 · 07:00F. Bergand—8440W. Ng—1111113
F. Bergand10
LAug 11 · 11:10F. Bergand10.50511471S. Odo1.0211711113LJun 27 · 18:45F. Bergand3.70111461192Y. Peng1.251312119113WJun 26 · 21:40H. Arapovic1.28711791F. Bergand3.5011511113LJun 9 · 14:10F. Bergand2.38111341Z. Wielgos1.53131192LMay 17 · 17:15V. Matuinina1.731111113F. Bergand2.003870LMay 6 · 12:40F. Bergand11.007440Y. Wang1.021111113WMay 4 · 10:25F. Bergand1.141111113A. Bakhyt5.007860WApr 29 · 12:40F. Bergand1.37101111113S. Zhang2.75126661WApr 29 · 12:28F. Bergand1.05101111103S. Zhang8.50126651WApr 28 · 11:30F. Bergand—11811113L. Zavaleta—611941
W. Ng10
LAug 9 · 20:50W. Ng1.45712941Y. Yoo2.50111011113LAug 9 · 17:55W. Ng1.44712941Y. Yoo2.63111011113WAug 9 · 09:45W. Ng1.201111113J. Lai4.334580WAug 8 · 14:10W. Ng1.1473L. Massart5.0040LJul 24 · 20:00H. Hayata1.081111113W. Ng7.007460LJun 28 · 01:05X. Shan1.7311118133W. Ng2.008611111WJun 27 · 02:15I. Lupulesku2.399880W. Ng1.471111113LJun 10 · 09:45S. Tokic5.501211124143W. Ng1.131481011122WJun 9 · 14:45H. Wong2.759119101W. Ng1.4011811123LJun 2 · 15:35W. Ng1.83151211982S. Yoo1.831710811113
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