TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11792297
Played Apr 24Finished
Bartosz Matachowski
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416111511––––
Karol Stojek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1416111511––––
H2H Bartosz Matachowski 22–17 Karol Stojek Karol Stojek has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Matachowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stojek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatachowski 1.63 / Stojek 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Matachowski)-2.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #11792297
The market does not separate these two
1.63 against 2.10 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Matachowski1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Stojek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMatachowski7wins
AwayStojek3wins
Matachowski leads 7–3.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matachowski5Stojek5n = 10split evenly
S2Matachowski8Stojek2n = 10Matachowski took 8 of 10
S3Matachowski5Stojek5n = 10split evenly
S4Matachowski4Stojek2n = 6Matachowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMatachowskiStojekM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.6+4.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatachowskiStojekBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 517 vs 399 / 107247.6%37.2%246 / 517 vs 399 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatachowskiMatachowski 1.63/Stojek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Matachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stojek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—B. Matachowski—2K. Stojek—3
L—B. Matachowski—1K. Stojek—3
L—B. Matachowski—3K. Stojek—0
L—B. Matachowski—3K. Stojek—1
W—B. Matachowski—3K. Stojek—1
W—B. Matachowski—1K. Stojek—3
W—B. Matachowski—3K. Stojek—0
W—B. Matachowski—3K. Stojek—0
W—B. Matachowski—3K. Stojek—0
W—B. Matachowski—1K. Stojek—3
B. Matachowski10
LApr 24 · 08:00B. Matachowski—811861P. Kedzierski—11911113WApr 24 · 07:00B. Matachowski2.1811127113W. Arkadiusz1.589101191LApr 24 · 06:00B. Matachowski1.698790J. Komorowicz2.001111113WApr 23 · 23:15J. Komorowicz—1191311112B. Matachowski—711158133LApr 23 · 22:05P. Domagala—1191110113B. Matachowski—91111272WApr 23 · 20:35B. Matachowski1.781461314113J. Komorowicz1.901211111672LApr 23 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz—11118113B. Matachowski—851161LApr 23 · 16:05K. Stojek—111187113B. Matachowski—78111172WApr 23 · 15:35P. Kedzierski—89100B. Matachowski—1111123WApr 22 · 21:50P. Kedzierski—176581B. Matachowski—151111113
K. Stojek10
LJun 24 · 21:30L. Buklat—1111113K. Stojek—8660LJun 24 · 20:30J. Caban1.3411911113K. Stojek2.85911471LJun 24 · 19:30K. Patryk1.4411811113K. Stojek2.47411461LJun 24 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.04141111113K. Stojek1.64169791LJun 24 · 15:30L. Buklat1.3811118113K. Stojek2.65791161LJun 24 · 14:00J. Komorowicz1.44811911113K. Stojek2.4611911372LJun 23 · 22:10J. Komorowicz1.5111611113K. Stojek2.29611981WJun 23 · 21:00P. Kedzierski1.991211881K. Stojek1.6814711113LJun 23 · 19:30K. Stojek2.371191011122J. Komorowicz1.47911126143WApr 23 · 16:05K. Stojek—111187113B. Matachowski—78111172
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