TT Lossbeater/Czech Extraleague
Czech ExtraleagueMatch #11717140
Played Apr 8Finished
Michal Blinka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11941111131121413
Martin Koblizek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Blinka above · Martin Koblizek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 3-3
Point 78 set 5, 3-3
78 points drawn · the score is 21 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Blinka 2–2 Martin Koblizek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Koblizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koblizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlinka 2.20 / Koblizek 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Koblizek)+3.5pp
Czech Extraleague · #11717140
Blinka2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Koblizek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBlinka2wins
AwayKoblizek2wins
Level at 2–2.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blinka1Koblizek3n = 4Koblizek took 3 of 4
S2Blinka4Koblizek0n = 4Blinka took 4 of 4
S3Blinka2Koblizek2n = 4split evenly
S4Blinka1Koblizek3n = 4Koblizek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBlinkaKoblizekB − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.242.0−0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlinkaKoblizekBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 116 vs 87 / 19940.5%43.7%47 / 116 vs 87 / 199Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoblizekBlinka 2.20/Koblizek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Koblizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
W—M. Blinka—1M. Koblizek—3
L—M. Blinka—3M. Koblizek—2
L—M. Blinka—1M. Koblizek—3
W—M. Blinka—3M. Koblizek—2
M. Blinka10
LAug 30 · 19:13M. Bobocica1.441211102M. Blinka2.63109100LAug 30 · 18:00M. Bobocica1.421211123M. Blinka2.60109100LAug 30 · 17:08K. Zhou1.18911693M. Blinka4.00115341LApr 1 · 17:21J. Vrablik1.3014711103M. Blinka3.401211651LFeb 26 · 17:43M. Blinka2.00711891O. Kveton1.7311611113LFeb 6 · 17:27V. Buben2.0091111103M. Blinka1.73116671LDec 18 · 16:00T. Pucar—111111113M. Blinka—341351WDec 11 · 17:30M. Blinka1.6712118103O. Tymofieiev2.101071161WNov 21 · 16:05J. Kleprlik1.5313119572M. Blinka2.381181111103LNov 16 · 16:40M. Blinka5.501198101S. Kulczycki1.1371111123
M. Koblizek10
LApr 1 · 16:32M. Koblizek3.00135871G. Gomez1.36111111113WFeb 6 · 17:04P. Klos1.835550M. Koblizek1.831111113WJan 22 · 18:20T. Spanik2.009980M. Koblizek1.731111113LJan 22 · 17:10F. Onderka—1191011113M. Koblizek—81112872LDec 19 · 19:20M. Koblizek—771171O. Ionescu—11119113WNov 6 · 17:57M. Koblizek1.101111103J. Martinko6.509840LOct 9 · 18:00T. Konecny1.1712101211103M. Koblizek4.501012101352LOct 9 · 16:00D. Reitspies1.301111113M. Koblizek3.407650WSep 26 · 16:40M. Koblizek1.141111113M. Lebeda5.002440WAug 2 · 12:37M. Koblizek1.83158116113L. Jancarik1.83131121142
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